Kelly de Bruin
at Economic and Social Research Institute (ESRI)- Claim this Profile
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Bio
Experience
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Economic and Social Research Institute (ESRI)
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Ireland
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Research
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1 - 100 Employee
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Jan 2021 - Present
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Mar 2017 - Jan 2021
Lead of the Climate modelling team at ESRI, which is currently developing the Ireland Environment, Energy and Economy (I3E) model.
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Umeå University
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Sweden
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Higher Education
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700 & Above Employee
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Assistant Professor
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Sep 2010 - Feb 2017
My research includes Integrated Assessment Modelling with a focus on adaptation and uncertainty. I also work with applied game theory focussing on climate agreements. I lecture and supervise Bachelors, Masters and PhD students. My research includes Integrated Assessment Modelling with a focus on adaptation and uncertainty. I also work with applied game theory focussing on climate agreements. I lecture and supervise Bachelors, Masters and PhD students.
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OECD - OCDE
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France
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International Affairs
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700 & Above Employee
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External Consultant
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Apr 2015 - Jun 2015
Contributing order to the book Economics consequences of climate change. I developed a model calibrated based on the OECD CIRCLE to run long term scenarios to investigate the economic consequences of climate change Contributing order to the book Economics consequences of climate change. I developed a model calibrated based on the OECD CIRCLE to run long term scenarios to investigate the economic consequences of climate change
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OECD - OCDE
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France
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International Affairs
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700 & Above Employee
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External Consultant
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Oct 2013 - Feb 2014
One of the lead authours on a report focuses on the effects of climate change impacts on economic growth. Simulations with the OECD’s dynamic global general equilibrium model ENV-Linkages assess the consequences of a selected number of climate change impacts in the various world regions at the macroeconomic and sectoral level. This is complemented with an assessment of very long-run implications, using the AD-RICE model. The analysis finds that the effect of climate change impacts on annual global GDP is projected to increase over time, leading to a global GDP loss of 0.7% to 2.5% by 2060 for the most likely equilibrium climate sensitivity range. Underlying these annual global GDP losses are much larger sectoral and regional variations. Agricultural impacts dominate in most regions, while damages from sea level rise gradually become more important. Negative economic consequences are especially large in South and South-East Asia whereas other regions will be less affected and, in some cases, benefit thanks to adjustments from international trade. Emissions to 2060 will have important consequences in later decades and centuries. Simulations with the AD-RICE model suggest that if emissions continue to grow after 2060, annual damages of climate change could reach 1.5%-4.8% of GDP by the end of the century. Some impacts and risks from climate change have not been quantified in this study, including extreme weather events, water stress and large-scale disruptions. These will potentially have large economic consequences, and on balance the costs of inaction presented here likely underestimate the full costs of climate change impacts. More research is needed to assess them as well as the various uncertainties and risks involved. However, this should not delay policy action, but rather induce policy frameworks that are able to deal with new information and with the fact that by their nature some uncertainties and risks will never be resolved. Show less
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Climate Analytics
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Germany
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Climate Data and Analytics
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1 - 100 Employee
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External Consultant
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Jan 2011 - Feb 2011
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Wageningen University & Research
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Netherlands
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Research Services
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700 & Above Employee
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Phd researcher
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Sep 2005 - Apr 2010
I have completed my PhD on the topic of the Economics of Adaptation to Climate Change in Integrated Assessment modelling at the University of Wageningen (the Netherlands) in 2011. My dissertation makes an important contribution to the IAM literature by addressing a previously neglected policy option, namely adaptation. To fully comprehend the economic consequences of climate change both policy options of adaptation and mitigation (and their interactions) should be investigated simultaneously. My work pioneered the inclusion of adaptation in IAMs and has led to a shift in the literature, where many models now also incorporate adaptation. Advisors: Prof. Ekko van Ierland, Prof. Richard Tol and Dr. Rob Dellink Show less
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OECD - OCDE
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France
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International Affairs
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700 & Above Employee
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External Consultant (Synthesis report on Integrated Assessment Modelling of Adaptation)
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Oct 2009 - Feb 2010
Lead authour of synthesis report concerning the modelling of adaptation in Integrated assessment models and their use in policy advice. Lead authour of synthesis report concerning the modelling of adaptation in Integrated assessment models and their use in policy advice.
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OECD - OCDE
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France
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International Affairs
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700 & Above Employee
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External Consultant (Optimal Timing of Mitigation and Adaptation)
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Mar 2009 - Jun 2009
Contributing lead authour to report that presents the first inter-model comparison of results on adaptation costs using the emerging category of adaptation-IAMs. Results show that all types of adaptation options are important in offsetting some of the adverse impacts of climate change. This is accomplished by developing a framework to incorporate adaptation as a policy choice variable within three Integrated Assessment Models (IAMs): the global Dynamic Integrated model of Climate and the Economy (DICE), the Regional Integrated model of Climate and the Economy (RICE), and the World Induced Technical Change Hybrid (WITCH) model. In addition to reactive adaptation, the framework developed here also takes into account investments in adaptation “stocks” such as coastal protection infrastructure, as well as investments in building adaptive capacity. Show less
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OECD - OCDE
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France
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International Affairs
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700 & Above Employee
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External Consultant (Economic Aspects of Adaptation to Climate Change)
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Apr 2008 - Jul 2008
Lead authour on report seeks to inform critical questions with regard to policy mixes of investments in adaptation and mitigation over time. Adaptation is examined within global Integrated Assessment Modelling frameworks, none of the which capture adaptation satisfactorily.This report develops and applies a framework for the explicit incorporation of adaptation in IAMs. Providing a consistent framework to investigate "optimal" balances between mitigation, adaptation and accepting climate change damages. Show less
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Education
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University of Groningen
Master's degree, International Economics -
ArtEZ Hogeschool voor de Kunsten
Fine and Studio Arts